the problem for ken cuccinelli has been that his unfavorables are over 50%. >> so cuccinelli tried to use the zras truss obama care rollout to increase his chances. did he succeed? >> well, we'll know this evening, carol. but i doubt it. let's put it this way. every single public and private survey that's reliable has mcauliffe ahead. the margins vary. as low as 2%, as high as 12%. it's somewhere in between i assume. but, look, it was obama care for cuccinelli versus the government shutdown for mcauliffe. obama care obviously connected to the democrats and to the president would hurt mcauliffe. but maybe they neutralized one another. >> women voters are a big factor in this election too, right? >> oh absolutely. look, men are pretty much evenly divided between the candidates, although that's bad news for cuccinelli. he should have a lead with men. but the gender gap is as large as i've ever seen it. it's been as high as 24 percentage points women in favor of mcauliffe over cuccinelli. it's remarkable. but mcauliffe has stressed issues like abortion that tend to have an impact, contrac